What I Learned Between Airports
Nearly 800 conversations
There is a particular moment that I have come to appreciate over
the past year. It usually arrives late in the evening, somewhere
between an airport lounge, a delayed flight and the journey home.
By then, the meetings are over, and for the first time all day
there is enough silence to reflect. It is often in those moments
that individual conversations, which initially seemed entirely
unrelated, begin to form a much bigger picture.
Over the past six months I have travelled across every corner of
Europe and beyond. From Copenhagen to Madrid, London to Singapore,
Paris to Milan, and from the Baltic countries to the Iberian
Peninsula, I have had the privilege of meeting entrepreneurs,
private equity managers, family offices and institutional
investors. By this time of the year, those conversations numbered
close to eight hundred.
Different businesses, the same questions
Every entrepreneur described a different business. Every investor
looked at the world through a different portfolio. Every private
equity manager presented a different strategy. Yet despite this
extraordinary diversity, I repeatedly found myself hearing
remarkably similar questions.
Where should long-term capital be allocated? How should investors
navigate a world that appears increasingly fragmented? Where will
the next generation of exceptional businesses emerge? And perhaps,
even more fundamentally, what kind of new era are we entering?
What sort of world will our children inherit?
These questions are hardly new. Every generation of investors has
asked them in one form or another. What changes is the environment
in which they are asked.
Why this letter
This year, more than any I can remember, those conversations took
place against a backdrop of profound change. It is impossible to
separate discussions about investing from the world in which those
investments are being made. Markets do not operate in isolation.
They reflect politics, technology, demographics, culture and,
above all, human behaviour. Understanding businesses increasingly
requires figuring out the forces shaping the environment in which
they operate. That observation, more than anything else, inspired
this letter.
Rather than reviewing fundraising activity or discussing
individual transactions, I wanted to step back and reflect on the
themes that repeatedly emerged throughout those conversations.
Some concern the global economy. Others relate to technological
innovation. Many challenge assumptions that have become deeply
embedded within the private equity industry itself. Together, they
have shaped the way I think about investing today.
Welcome Back to Normal
The return of higher interest rates
If there is one conclusion that became increasingly evident
throughout the year, it is that we are no longer investing in the
world many of us became accustomed to over the previous decade.
For almost fifteen years, exceptionally low interest rates
influenced virtually every aspect of financial markets. Cheap
capital rewarded growth, compressed risk premia and encouraged
investors to assume that liquidity would always be available.
Entire investment strategies were built around an environment
that, historically speaking, was highly unusual. That period has
now come to an end.
A more Darwinian market
The return of higher interest rates has undoubtedly created
challenges across private markets. Fundraising has become more
selective. In many respects, private markets have become more
Darwinian. Exit activity has slowed. Financing costs have
increased. Valuations have adjusted. Many participants
understandably describe today's environment as significantly more
difficult than the one that preceded it. While all of this is
true, I am not convinced it should be viewed exclusively through a
negative lens.
The previous decade was, in many respects, a historical exception
rather than the norm. Capital was unusually abundant. Financing
was exceptionally inexpensive. Asset prices benefited from a
combination of expanding valuation multiples and declining
discount rates that cannot reasonably be expected to persist
indefinitely. Normality has returned, and normality rarely feels
comfortable. Yet normal markets tend to reward precisely the
qualities that define outstanding investors: discipline, patience,
selectivity and sound judgement rather than abundant liquidity.
Business fundamentals are back
Perhaps the most encouraging consequence of this transition is
that investment decisions once again depend primarily on business
fundamentals rather than financial engineering alone. Revenue
growth, pricing power, operational excellence, management quality
and thoughtful capital allocation have returned to the centre of
the investment discussion. For long-term investors, I believe this
is ultimately a healthier environment!
Investing in a Different World
Geopolitics is now an investment variable
Interest rates, however, are only one part of a much broader
transformation. Geopolitical fragmentation has accelerated.
Governments across Europe and North America have rediscovered
industrial policy. Defence spending has returned to the centre of
political debate after decades during which many assumed peace was
the default condition. Supply chains are being redesigned to
prioritise resilience alongside efficiency. Energy security has
become a boardroom discussion rather than merely a political one.
The events in the Strait of Hormuz since February have once again
reminded the world how interconnected the global economy remains.
A relatively narrow shipping route briefly became the focal point
of financial markets because investors immediately understood what
was at stake. A local geopolitical event rapidly translated into
questions about inflation, energy prices, shipping costs and
monetary policy. It served as another reminder that geopolitical
developments are no longer distant headlines. They have become
integral components of investment analysis.
Artificial intelligence is a platform, not a product
Running alongside these developments is another transformation
that may ultimately prove even more significant. Artificial
intelligence is no longer a niche technology discussed primarily
by software engineers and venture capitalists. It has become one
of the defining investment themes of our generation. More
importantly, it represents something far larger than technological
innovation alone. It is reshaping productivity, labour markets,
infrastructure investment, healthcare, manufacturing, defence and
national competitiveness. Like every major technological
revolution before it, its consequences will extend far beyond the
sector in which it originated.
History suggests that technological revolutions rarely transform
the economy in the way people initially expect. The railways were
never simply about trains. Electricity was never simply about
light bulbs. The internet was never simply about websites. Each
became the foundation upon which entirely new industries were
built. Artificial intelligence will be no different. Today, much
of the public discussion revolves around models, chips and
computing power. Those topics are undoubtedly important, but they
are merely the infrastructure. The real transformation will occur
over the coming decade as entrepreneurs discover thousands of
applications that none of us can yet fully anticipate.
Productivity will improve. Entire professions will evolve. Some
business models will disappear, while entirely new ones will
emerge. Hopefully, placement agents will survive as well.
Selecting investment managers has never been just about
information. It is about understanding people, trusting your
judgement and, occasionally, listening to your intuition. Those
things, at least for now, are not easily replaced by AI.
I suspect future generations will study this decade much as we
study the Industrial Revolution, the widespread adoption of
electricity or the emergence of the internet. We do not yet know
which companies will define this new era, just as investors in the
early 1990s could not have predicted every business that would
eventually come to dominate the digital economy. What we do know
is that those companies are being built today, and that may be the
greatest privilege of investing.
We are not merely observers of history. Through the allocation of
capital, we are participants in it. Few people have shaped the
current technological landscape more profoundly than Jensen Huang,
the founder and chief executive of NVIDIA, whose chips have become
the essential infrastructure of the artificial intelligence era.
As he once put it: "The future is not something we enter. The
future is something we create." (Some, admittedly, create it more
than others. But the rest of us are not simply watching from the
sidelines either, and on most days, that is more than enough.)
Uncertainty Is the Price of Opportunity
Action beats perfect visibility
There is, however, another reason why I found this past year
particularly stimulating. What struck me most over the past months
was not how differently people viewed the future, but how
differently they responded to exactly the same environment. Faced
with the same uncertainty, some chose caution, others preferred
patience, while the individuals who impressed me the most
consistently chose action. Not reckless action, nor optimism for
optimism's sake, but thoughtful, disciplined execution despite
recognising that perfect visibility never exists.
That observation may sound almost self-evident, yet I increasingly
believe it lies at the heart of successful investing and perhaps
of life more generally. We often tell ourselves that we will start
a new project, make an important decision or pursue a long-held
ambition once things become calmer. The reality, however, is that
life rarely obliges. There is always another election, another
geopolitical crisis, another economic slowdown, another perfectly
reasonable excuse to wait just a little longer. Waiting for
complete certainty has a way of becoming the most sophisticated
form of inaction there is. (I say this as someone who knows a
thing or two about procrastination.)
Modern Portfolio Theory teaches us that higher expected returns
exist precisely because uncertainty exists. If the future were
obvious, opportunities would already be priced accordingly and
excess returns would disappear. The uncomfortable truth is that
uncertainty is not an obstacle to investing; it is the very reason
investing exists. This is also why consistently investing through
uncertainty has historically proved more effective than trying to
time markets or waiting for complete clarity.
History illustrates this point remarkably well. Every exceptional
company we admire today was built during a period that appeared
uncertain to those living through it. Every successful investment
required someone to commit capital long before the outcome became
obvious. By the time complete clarity arrived, the opportunity had
almost invariably disappeared. Visibility is a luxury markets
seldom provide. Judgement is what they reward instead.
The discipline of saying no
The best investors I encountered this year drew their confidence
from somewhere else entirely. It came from knowing exactly what
kind of businesses they wanted to own, what kind of people they
wanted to back and, perhaps most importantly, which opportunities
they were prepared to walk away from.
The older I become, the more convinced I am that successful
investing is defined less by the quality of the opportunities one
accepts than by the discipline with which one declines the rest.
Every experienced investor has stories of investments they regret
missing, but the truly exceptional ones are distinguished by
something far less visible: an extraordinary capacity to say no.
They understand that capital is finite, time is finite and
attention is finite. Every investment pursued inevitably means
another opportunity abandoned, and preserving the discipline to
remain selective becomes increasingly valuable as markets grow
more competitive. Growing up as a millennial, I am acutely aware
of how social media places a glittering veneer on everyone's life,
cultivating a constant sense of FOMO, the fear of missing out, and
the feeling that one must always say yes. The best investors I
know have learned to resist that instinct entirely.
Conviction before consensus
Several investors I met this year did not wait for the market to
confirm their views before acting. They had done the work, formed
a view and were prepared to be early. Conviction, in their hands,
was not arrogance. It was the product of preparation. They were
also, without exception, the first to revisit their assumptions
when new information arrived. Confidence and intellectual
humility, it turns out, are not opposites. In the best investors,
they coexist.
What Fundraising Is Whispering to Us
DPI is fashionable again
One of the questions I am asked most frequently is whether
fundraising has become significantly more difficult than it had
been only a few years ago. The answer is undoubtedly yes.
Fundraising takes longer. Investment committees ask more
questions. Due diligence has become considerably more extensive.
Reference calls are deeper and limited partners have become
increasingly selective in deciding where to allocate fresh
capital.
It would, however, be inaccurate to conclude that capital has
somehow disappeared. Quite the opposite. There remains an
extraordinary amount of institutional capital seeking attractive
opportunities across private markets. Pension funds continue to
require long-term returns. Family offices continue to seek
diversification. Insurance companies, endowments and sovereign
investors continue to allocate significant resources to
alternative assets. What has changed is not the availability of
capital but the threshold of conviction required before that
capital is deployed. That, in my view, is probably the best thing
that could have happened.
One consequence of today's more selective fundraising environment
is that certain themes have returned to the centre of almost every
conversation. None more so than DPI. Judging by this year's
fundraising meetings, one could be forgiven for thinking the
private equity industry has just uncovered one of finance's
greatest revelations: investors quite like getting their money
back! A remarkable breakthrough. Fortunately, that insight
predates private equity by several centuries.
There is something quietly amusing about watching timeless
principles suddenly become the industry's latest obsession.
Limited partners did not wake up in 2026 and unexpectedly discover
that realised returns are preferable to paper gains, or that
liquidity has value. Those truths have always been obvious. What
changed was not the principle, but the environment. After several
years in which exit activity slowed dramatically, distributions
naturally became one of the defining topics of every fundraising
discussion. Limited partners were no longer evaluating
opportunities solely through the lens of long-term return
potential. They were also thinking about portfolio liquidity,
commitment pacing and the practical realities of funding future
allocations. The renewed focus on DPI is therefore entirely
rational. What is slightly harder to accept is the impression that
it represents some profound new way of thinking about investing.
It does not. Good investing has never been about marking value. It
has always been about returning capital. DPI is simply the
scorecard. The acronym may have become fashionable. The underlying
principle never stopped mattering.
When gross became the new net
Financial markets have always had a habit of rediscovering old
ideas and presenting them as new. Every cycle crowns a different
concept. Conferences revolve around it. Fundraising decks are
rewritten. Panels are organised. White papers appear. Consultants
produce new frameworks. Before long, one could almost believe the
industry has entered an entirely new era. Sometimes it has. More
often, it has simply rediscovered something that sensible
investors never forgot.
A French investor said something to me recently that I have not
stopped thinking about: "Le net est devenu le brut." Net has
become gross. The conversation moved on. I did not. For years,
fundraising presentations led with net returns: net IRR, net TVPI,
net multiples. Managers wanted to be judged on what investors
actually received. Today, more and more presentations begin with
gross performance. Nobody announced the change. Nobody made a
speech about it. It simply happened. Perhaps fundraising became
more competitive. Perhaps headline numbers became more important.
Perhaps managers simply realised that gross performance tells a
better story. Whatever the reason, the shift itself is revealing.
Markets communicate a great deal through the language they use.
When the words change, it usually means something underneath has
changed first. People often focus on data and forget to pay
attention to vocabulary. Language tells you what people want you
to notice. Just as importantly, it tells you what they would
rather you did not. Perhaps that single sentence says more about
today's private equity market than another hundred fundraising
presentations.
The Real PPT of Private Markets
People
Over the course of this past year, I gradually came to realise
that the questions I was asking during meetings were becoming
remarkably consistent. How does one choose the companies and
managers to represent? The answer, as straightforward as it may
sound, is that we chose to work with people we genuinely like. And
the people we like as investors and entrepreneurs tend to be those
who are reliable, structured and trustworthy. This brings us to
what I believe is the real foundation of private markets today:
People, Process and Transparency.
The difference between organisations almost always came down to
something considerably more fundamental than strategy or track
record. It came down to people. I am increasingly convinced that
we systematically underestimate the importance of character when
evaluating investment organisations. Financial models can be
refined, investment strategies evolve and market conditions
inevitably change, but integrity, intellectual curiosity and sound
judgement remain remarkably consistent over time. The individuals
I admired most throughout the year were not necessarily those with
the most impressive track records or the most sophisticated
presentations. More often than not, they were those who displayed
a rare combination of humility and conviction: confident enough to
make difficult decisions, yet equally comfortable admitting what
they did not know. It is worth acknowledging that private equity
managers are well compensated, and rightly so. The quality of work
that the best professionals in this industry deliver, the
complexity of the decisions they take and the weight of
responsibility they carry on behalf of their investors is
genuinely extraordinary. Some decisions cannot be outsourced to
algorithms. They are ultimately expressions of character, and they
rest on the shoulders of remarkable individuals.
Process
Throughout my travels I was repeatedly reminded that the strongest
investment organisations rarely rely on brilliance alone. Instead,
they rely on discipline. Their success is seldom the result of a
single exceptional investment or one particularly gifted
individual. Rather, it reflects the existence of a repeatable
process capable of producing consistently good decisions across
different market environments.
Every experienced investor has made successful investments, and
every experienced investor has made mistakes. I will not start
listing mine here, otherwise this summer letter would become
considerably longer than intended. Jokes aside, the difference
lies in whether those outcomes improve the process or simply
become anecdotes.
The best firms I encountered possessed an almost quiet confidence
in the way they made decisions. They understood that consistency
matters more than excitement, that saying no is often more
valuable than saying yes, and that protecting capital is every bit
as important as compounding it. Their investment committees were
not designed to confirm existing opinions but to challenge them.
Debate was encouraged, dissent was welcomed, and intellectual
honesty appeared to matter more than hierarchy. These are
organisations that had managed to remain successful across
multiple decades rather than a single market cycle.
Transparency
The final observation may be the one I value most. Private equity
funds remain blind pools, regardless of how much capital a fund
has already deployed into portfolio companies. Even a meaningful
general partner commitment does not, on its own, prevent
misalignment. What ultimately matters is whether the people
involved are genuinely good and reliable, because without trust,
and without the sincere belief that a manager is acting in the
best interests of their investors, no partnership can endure. Over
the years I have become increasingly convinced that transparency
is one of the most underappreciated competitive advantages in our
industry. Not because investors enjoy receiving bad news, but
because long-term partnerships cannot be built without trust, and
trust cannot exist without transparency.
A man was once asked how he and his wife had divided decisions
over sixty years of marriage. "When we married," he replied, "we
agreed that she would handle all the small decisions and I would
handle all the big ones." "And how did that work out?" "Perfectly.
In sixty years, there has not been a single big decision."
It is a good joke, but it contains an uncomfortable truth. Life is
largely the accumulation of small decisions: the conversations we
choose to have, the opportunities we decide to pursue, the
compromises we are willing to accept and, above all, the people we
choose to trust.
The same applies to character. It is rarely revealed in the
extraordinary. It is revealed in the ordinary, in the hundreds of
small, unremarkable decisions that eventually define who we are
and who we become. The same is true in investing. In the end,
decisions are not simply tests of intelligence, they are tests of
character.
Working Hard Is Hard Work
Beyond being a placement agent
These are also, perhaps unsurprisingly, the principles that
increasingly define the way we think about our own business. At
Soledar, we often describe ourselves as a placement agent,
although I have become increasingly uncomfortable with that
description. It is accurate, but incomplete. If our role consisted
merely of introducing investors to fund managers, we would not be
able to survive. Databases already contain thousands of managers.
Meetings can be arranged with remarkable efficiency. Information
has never been more accessible. What remains scarce is judgement.
Judgement as a business model
Our responsibility is not simply to identify good investment
opportunities. It is to determine which organisations deserve to
become long-term partners for sophisticated investors whose
capital may remain invested for ten or fifteen years. That
responsibility extends well beyond analysing track records or
reviewing due diligence questionnaires. It requires understanding
people, organisational culture, decision-making processes and the
subtle characteristics that rarely appear in marketing
presentations but often determine outcomes over time.
Matchmaking, not distribution
Increasingly, I believe our profession resembles long-term
matchmaking far more than traditional distribution. We spend our
time trying to understand not only whether a manager is
exceptional, and this reveals itself gradually: in conversations
struck up in airport lounges when a flight is delayed, in the way
someone treats a waitress in a café, in the questions people ask
rather than the answers they give, and above all, in the simple
act of spending time together.
Summer Homework
Becoming better investors starts with becoming better people
As I close this letter, I find myself returning to the same place
where it began: an airport lounge, another delayed flight, though
this time not rushing to an investor meeting but to a Greek
island. I realise that the most valuable insights I gathered these
past months did not come from financial models, conference
presentations or market forecasts. They came from people. From
listening more than speaking (which is not always easy for an
Italian woman).
Thank you for reading, and I look forward to engaging with you in
the years ahead. For many of us, summer has arrived, bringing with
it holidays, family and time. The goal of that time away is also
to become better and happier people, because in the end, that is
what we bring to every meeting and to every working day, wherever
we are. Life is short, after all.
Enjoy the Summer.
Alessandra Mazzucchelli